Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 77.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 71.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Richardson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richardson
Carrick
Last 5: Richardson 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Richardson
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Richardson
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
48.9% (352)
+10.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
81.3% (16)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
42.2% (45)
-10.9%
On power play, Richardson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Richardson
Carrick
Home
60.2% (88)
46.9% (192)
Away
57.0% (151)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Richardson
Carrick
P1
63.8%
48.1%
P2
59.1%
50.0%
P3
50.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |