Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Gagner 50.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 64.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 82.5%
Neutral zone
Richardson 60.7%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Richardson
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richardson
Gagner
Last 5: Richardson 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Richardson
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
48.5% (103)
+7.6%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
60.0% (15)
+3.3%
On even strength, Richardson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Richardson shoots left. Gagner is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Richardson
Gagner
Home
55.3% (590)
57.9% (76)
Away
54.4% (461)
35.7% (42)
By Period
Richardson
Gagner
P1
56.2%
46.7%
P2
56.4%
50.0%
P3
51.8%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |