Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 75.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 83.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 67.7%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Richardson
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
19
(39 meetings)
20
19
Richardson
Gagner
Last 10: Richardson 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
6
14
Richardson
Gagner
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
10
2
Richardson
Gagner
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
3
Richardson
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
45.4% (4,699)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
51.5% (928)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
35.0% (226)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Richardson
Gagner
Home
53.6% (3,164)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Richardson
Gagner
P1
52.3%
44.6%
P2
54.2%
46.1%
P3
53.5%
47.3%
OT
61.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |