Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 59.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 70.6%
Neutral zone
Richardson 64.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Richardson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richardson
Seguin
Last 6: Richardson 5-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
56.5% (712)
+3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
59.7% (67)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
44.9% (49)
-13.6%
On power play, Richardson has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Richardson
Seguin
Home
60.2% (88)
58.5% (402)
Away
57.0% (151)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Richardson
Seguin
P1
63.8%
58.4%
P2
59.1%
54.7%
P3
50.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
65.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |