Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 85.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 65.5%
Neutral zone
Rask 58.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Richardson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Richardson
Rask
Last 10: Richardson 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
5
Richardson
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
1
Richardson
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
4
6
Richardson
Rask
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
50.0% (4,428)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
54.3% (363)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
35.2% (54)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Richardson
Rask
Home
53.6% (3,164)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Richardson
Rask
P1
52.3%
50.7%
P2
54.2%
48.9%
P3
53.5%
50.7%
OT
61.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |