Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Point 48.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Point leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.5%
Defensive zone
Point 57.1%
Neutral zone
Point 50.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Tkachuk
Point
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Tkachuk
Point
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
2
Tkachuk
Point
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
2
Tkachuk
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
4
Tkachuk
Point
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Point
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
48.3% (6,183)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
53.9% (1,043)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
38.5% (247)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Point
Home
50.7% (1,428)
49.1% (3,733)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
48.5% (3,740)
By Period
Tkachuk
Point
P1
49.4%
46.8%
P2
51.3%
51.4%
P3
49.3%
48.0%
OT
57.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |