Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Point 46.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 54.3%
Defensive zone
Point 88.1%
Neutral zone
Point 57.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Tkachuk
Point
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Point
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Tkachuk
Point
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
0
1
Tkachuk
Point
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Point
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
45.9% (582)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
45.6% (57)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
20.0% (5)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Point
Home
56.0% (175)
45.8% (286)
Away
49.8% (205)
45.5% (358)
By Period
Tkachuk
Point
P1
55.0%
45.9%
P2
51.9%
48.8%
P3
47.3%
40.6%
OT
77.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |