Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs O'Reilly 47.3% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 77.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Tkachuk
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
46.5% (800)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
50.4% (129)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.0% (8)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (1,428)
50.6% (480)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
43.2% (465)
By Period
Tkachuk
O'Reilly
P1
49.4%
47.1%
P2
51.3%
46.7%
P3
49.3%
46.8%
OT
57.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%