Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sillinger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Sillinger 46.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 88.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 51.2%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Sillinger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
1
Tkachuk
Sillinger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
47.4% (834)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
44.3% (61)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.4% (77)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Home
56.0% (175)
45.9% (488)
Away
49.8% (205)
46.7% (484)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sillinger
P1
55.0%
45.0%
P2
51.9%
44.5%
P3
47.3%
49.5%
OT
77.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | OT | 04:18 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |