Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Sissons 51.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 88.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 62.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Tkachuk
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tkachuk
Sissons
Last 6: Tkachuk 2-4 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Sissons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
0
4
Tkachuk
Sissons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Sissons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
52.3% (409)
-5.4%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
45.5% (11)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
48.5% (132)
+31.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sissons is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sissons
Home
47.6% (168)
52.2% (289)
Away
44.4% (144)
50.2% (263)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sissons
P1
49.1%
48.1%
P2
42.9%
50.2%
P3
46.5%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |