Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Sissons 53.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 95.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 72.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Tkachuk
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Tkachuk
Sissons
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk
Sissons
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
4
Tkachuk
Sissons
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Sissons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
57.1% (713)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
52.3% (44)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
46.4% (351)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sissons
Home
49.9% (389)
54.8% (569)
Away
46.8% (376)
52.1% (539)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sissons
P1
44.4%
56.1%
P2
51.8%
49.6%
P3
47.8%
54.8%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |