Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.2%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kampf shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Kampf 51.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kampf 89.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Tkachuk
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Tkachuk
Kampf
Last 10: Tkachuk 7-3 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Kampf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
3
Tkachuk
Kampf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
52.3% (405)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
50.0% (2)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.8% (136)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Kampf
Home
50.0% (140)
49.8% (269)
Away
52.2% (207)
52.6% (274)
By Period
Tkachuk
Kampf
P1
54.3%
50.5%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
49.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |