Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Haas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Haas 44.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Haas leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.8%
Defensive zone
Haas 74.7%
Neutral zone
Haas 69.1%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Tkachuk
Haas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Tkachuk
Haas
Last 10: Tkachuk 2-8 Haas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Haas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
0
6
Tkachuk
Haas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
1
4
Tkachuk
Haas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Haas
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
42.4% (616)
+6.6%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
51.5% (33)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.8% (65)
-5.8%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haas shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Haas
Home
50.7% (1,428)
45.8% (371)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
41.1% (343)
By Period
Tkachuk
Haas
P1
49.4%
39.6%
P2
51.3%
43.8%
P3
49.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |