Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Eichel 45.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 61.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 92.5%
Neutral zone
Eichel 60.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Tkachuk
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Tkachuk
Eichel
Last 9: Tkachuk 3-6 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Eichel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
4
Tkachuk
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
45.9% (1,044)
+5.1%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
55.9% (59)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.7% (151)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Eichel
Home
50.0% (140)
46.5% (606)
Away
52.2% (207)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Tkachuk
Eichel
P1
54.3%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
46.9%
P3
49.5%
42.7%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |