Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Dickinson 50.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 89.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 61.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Last 6: Tkachuk 4-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Dickinson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Tkachuk
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.2% (912)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
63.8% (58)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (266)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Home
56.0% (175)
52.9% (664)
Away
49.8% (205)
46.7% (572)
By Period
Tkachuk
Dickinson
P1
55.0%
49.0%
P2
51.9%
48.3%
P3
47.3%
52.5%
OT
77.8%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |