Brady Tkachuk vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 70.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
47.3% (207)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
100.0% (3)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.4% (121)
46.5% (129)
Away
67.3% (113)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
P1
57.1%
51.3%
P2
60.0%
46.1%
P3
58.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%