Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.4%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Khaira 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.7%
Defensive zone
Khaira 85.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 61.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Tkachuk
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tkachuk
Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Khaira
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
50.2% (251)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
52.6% (19)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
37.5% (48)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Khaira has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Khaira is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Khaira
Home
49.9% (389)
48.0% (150)
Away
46.8% (376)
48.8% (168)
By Period
Tkachuk
Khaira
P1
44.4%
51.0%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
47.8%
43.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |