Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 57.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 72.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 56.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
46.5% (878)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
48.3% (174)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (54)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Home
50.4% (121)
46.2% (571)
Away
67.3% (113)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Tkachuk
Scheifele
P1
57.1%
51.9%
P2
60.0%
45.6%
P3
58.3%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |