Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Scheifele 46.6% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 51.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 70.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
46.0% (674)
+13.6%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
46.2% (119)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.0% (50)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tkachuk is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Tkachuk shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Home
52.9% (87)
44.8% (426)
Away
61.7% (60)
47.5% (417)
By Period
Tkachuk
Scheifele
P1
61.0%
53.4%
P2
59.5%
43.3%
P3
52.4%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |