Brady Tkachuk vs Michael Rasmussen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Rasmussen 48.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.6%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 84.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 60.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
Last 9: Tkachuk 5-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
2
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
48.3% (1,870)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
53.9% (154)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
41.5% (147)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
Home
50.7% (1,428)
48.4% (1,087)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
48.1% (1,084)
By Period
Tkachuk
Rasmussen
P1
49.4%
47.8%
P2
51.3%
49.5%
P3
49.3%
47.0%
OT
57.1%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |