Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Thompson 54.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 57.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Tkachuk
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tkachuk
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Tkachuk
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
55.5% (236)
-10.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
60.0% (5)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
56.5% (46)
+43.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thompson
Home
51.1% (233)
53.1% (128)
Away
49.0% (202)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thompson
P1
42.9%
59.0%
P2
52.2%
55.4%
P3
53.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |