Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Suter 46.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 68.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Tkachuk
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Tkachuk
Suter
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
1
Tkachuk
Suter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
Tkachuk
Suter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
46.2% (3,208)
+2.8%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
52.9% (278)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
40.3% (303)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suter
Home
50.7% (1,428)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suter
P1
49.4%
46.6%
P2
51.3%
46.0%
P3
49.3%
46.1%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |