Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.8%). Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.7%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 64.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Last 10: Tkachuk 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
8
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
49.6% (10,258)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
54.9% (1,381)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
44.8% (1,055)
+0.2%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Home
50.7% (1,428)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
P1
49.4%
49.2%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
49.3%
49.7%
OT
57.1%
49.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |