Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 89.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tkachuk
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
42.6% (324)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
31.3% (16)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.8% (16)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lafferty
Home
56.0% (175)
40.9% (181)
Away
49.8% (205)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lafferty
P1
55.0%
42.2%
P2
51.9%
36.4%
P3
47.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%