Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.8%). Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Laughton 50.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.7%
Defensive zone
Laughton 84.8%
Neutral zone
Laughton 56.2%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Tkachuk
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Tkachuk
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
52.3% (398)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
51.4% (37)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.3% (63)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Laughton
Home
50.0% (140)
51.2% (285)
Away
52.2% (207)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Tkachuk
Laughton
P1
54.3%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
49.5%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |