Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 50.7% vs Kelly 48.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 77.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 70.5%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 73.7%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Dubinsky
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dubinsky
Kelly
Last 5: Dubinsky 4-1 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (648)
49.7% (433)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.6% (95)
28.6% (7)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (116)
45.5% (99)
+5.4%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Kelly
Home
52.4% (414)
53.9% (297)
Away
49.2% (445)
42.1% (242)
By Period
Dubinsky
Kelly
P1
52.8%
45.4%
P2
53.0%
46.1%
P3
47.7%
54.3%
OT
35.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
50.8%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |