Brandon Dubinsky vs Chris Kelly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Kelly 50.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 69.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 63.4%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 66.1%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Dubinsky
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Dubinsky
Kelly
Last 10: Dubinsky 5-5 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
5
2
Dubinsky
Kelly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
3
Dubinsky
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
51.1% (3,010)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
60.6% (71)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
44.7% (689)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Dubinsky shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Kelly
Home
54.8% (4,265)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Dubinsky
Kelly
P1
53.8%
49.2%
P2
54.3%
49.1%
P3
51.6%
51.9%
OT
51.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |