Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.5% vs Roy 50.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Dubinsky
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dubinsky
Roy
Last 7: Dubinsky 2-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Dubinsky
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dubinsky
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (234)
50.3% (1,010)
+4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
53.3% (169)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (106)
51.1% (133)
-3.9%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Dubinsky is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Dubinsky shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Roy
Home
52.2% (182)
52.4% (683)
Away
51.6% (213)
48.6% (646)
By Period
Dubinsky
Roy
P1
48.1%
48.3%
P2
54.5%
49.5%
P3
51.9%
53.9%
OT
53.8%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.9%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |