Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Roy 47.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 67.1%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 92.2%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 89.6%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Dubinsky
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Dubinsky
Roy
Last 10: Dubinsky 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Dubinsky
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
6
1
Dubinsky
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
3
1
Dubinsky
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
46.4% (3,031)
+7.2%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
53.6% (560)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
46.8% (267)
+1.1%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Dubinsky shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Roy
Home
54.8% (4,265)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Dubinsky
Roy
P1
53.8%
47.6%
P2
54.3%
46.2%
P3
51.6%
48.5%
OT
51.6%
43.1%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 11, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |