Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dubinsky wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.7% vs Ward 46.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 67.2%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 68.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 70.2%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Dubinsky
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dubinsky
Ward
Last 5: Dubinsky 3-2 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
3
1
Dubinsky
Ward
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Dubinsky
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (831)
55.0% (80)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.3% (138)
43.9% (57)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (138)
33.9% (62)
+10.3%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Dubinsky is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Dubinsky shoots left. Ward is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Ward
Home
53.1% (608)
50.9% (114)
Away
52.7% (499)
37.6% (85)
By Period
Dubinsky
Ward
P1
53.5%
42.6%
P2
54.4%
38.5%
P3
50.5%
54.8%
OT
64.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.8%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |