Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Ward 48.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 74.4%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 83.7%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 78.0%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Dubinsky
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Dubinsky
Ward
Last 10: Dubinsky 7-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Ward
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
6
2
Dubinsky
Ward
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Dubinsky
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
51.3% (1,186)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
53.4% (238)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
35.5% (366)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Dubinsky is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dubinsky shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Ward
Home
54.8% (4,265)
50.3% (870)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Dubinsky
Ward
P1
53.8%
47.6%
P2
54.3%
47.5%
P3
51.6%
50.3%
OT
51.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Joel Ward |