Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Dubinsky wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Sturm 56.2% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 66.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.4%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 50.2%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Dubinsky
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
57.1% (2,681)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
61.3% (62)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
51.7% (482)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Dubinsky shoots left. Sturm is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,159).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Sturm
Home
54.8% (4,265)
57.3% (1,595)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
55.5% (1,630)
By Period
Dubinsky
Sturm
P1
53.8%
56.4%
P2
54.3%
55.1%
P3
51.6%
57.6%
OT
51.6%
60.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
56.4%