Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 63.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 62.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 62.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Dubinsky
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Dubinsky
Smith
Last 10: Dubinsky 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Dubinsky
Smith
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
5
Dubinsky
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Dubinsky
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
51.2% (342)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
45.3% (985)
+2.6%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Dubinsky shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Smith
Home
54.8% (4,265)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Dubinsky
Smith
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
54.3%
50.0%
P3
51.6%
51.9%
OT
51.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |