Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Iafallo wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hagel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 45.2% vs Hagel 40.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iafallo 57.7%
Defensive zone
Iafallo 73.5%
Neutral zone
Iafallo 55.9%
Result
Alex Iafallo favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Iafallo
Hagel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Iafallo
Hagel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iafallo
1
0
Iafallo
Hagel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Hagel
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (177)
36.7% (245)
+4.0%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
50.0% (24)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
28.6% (35)
+19.5%
On power play, Iafallo has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hagel shoots left. Iafallo is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Iafallo shoots left. Hagel is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Hagel
Home
45.4% (108)
37.8% (156)
Away
40.4% (104)
35.8% (148)
By Period
Iafallo
Hagel
P1
40.7%
35.5%
P2
45.8%
34.9%
P3
41.5%
40.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
27.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
46.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Alex Iafallo |