Brandon McMillan vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMillan wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McMillan 80.1%
Defensive zone
McMillan 76.1%
Neutral zone
McMillan 82.7%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
McMillan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McMillan
O'Reilly
Last 10: McMillan 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
2
1
McMillan
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
McMillan
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
McMillan
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (362)
56.2% (15,260)
-16.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
58.8% (3,445)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
51.4% (2,811)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McMillan is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (292).
McMillan shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
McMillan
O'Reilly
Home
38.1% (210)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
40.4% (213)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
McMillan
O'Reilly
P1
39.2%
55.6%
P2
42.4%
57.0%
P3
37.1%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |