Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMillan wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Gagner 44.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 55.4%
Defensive zone
McMillan 57.6%
Neutral zone
McMillan 59.5%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McMillan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McMillan
Gagner
Last 6: McMillan 1-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
McMillan
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
McMillan
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
McMillan
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
43.1% (758)
-3.6%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
50.3% (147)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
34.6% (26)
-8.3%
On power play, Gagner has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. McMillan is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (75).
McMillan shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
McMillan
Gagner
Home
36.3% (160)
47.4% (468)
Away
42.1% (133)
40.3% (467)
By Period
McMillan
Gagner
P1
40.7%
43.8%
P2
42.3%
43.8%
P3
34.5%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |