Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMillan wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 69.6%
Defensive zone
McMillan 71.2%
Neutral zone
McMillan 69.8%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
McMillan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McMillan
Gagner
Last 6: McMillan 1-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
McMillan
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
McMillan
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
McMillan
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (362)
45.4% (4,699)
-5.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
51.5% (928)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
35.0% (226)
-6.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. McMillan is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (131).
McMillan shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
McMillan
Gagner
Home
38.1% (210)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
40.4% (213)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
McMillan
Gagner
P1
39.2%
44.6%
P2
42.4%
46.1%
P3
37.1%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |