Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). McMillan wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McMillan 86.4%
Defensive zone
McMillan 78.6%
Neutral zone
McMillan 85.9%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
McMillan
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
McMillan
Ott
Last 10: McMillan 2-8 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
2
0
McMillan
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
7
McMillan
Ott
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
McMillan
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (362)
57.2% (2,802)
-17.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
55.4% (567)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
49.9% (853)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. McMillan is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (292).
McMillan shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
McMillan
Ott
Home
38.1% (210)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
40.4% (213)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
McMillan
Ott
P1
39.2%
56.7%
P2
42.4%
53.9%
P3
37.1%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Steve Ott |