Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. McMillan wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.3% vs Wilson 42.4% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Wilson 51.0%
Neutral zone
McMillan 54.0%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McMillan
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (362)
40.8% (240)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
38.5% (65)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
41.3% (104)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. McMillan is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (131).
McMillan shoots left. Wilson is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
McMillan
Wilson
Home
38.1% (210)
33.7% (187)
Away
40.4% (213)
46.4% (222)
By Period
McMillan
Wilson
P1
39.2%
42.0%
P2
42.4%
44.8%
P3
37.1%
33.3%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.2%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
40.6%