Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pirri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pirri wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 48.7% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 67.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 64.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.6%
Result
Brandon Pirri favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Pirri
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pirri
Pavelski
Last 8: Pirri 4-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
3
0
Pirri
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Pirri
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (983)
53.6% (8,791)
-5.9%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
58.2% (2,122)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.9% (1,138)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pirri is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Pirri shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Pirri
Pavelski
Home
51.3% (599)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
45.7% (536)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Pirri
Pavelski
P1
49.4%
53.5%
P2
46.4%
55.2%
P3
49.9%
53.9%
OT
77.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
48.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |