Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Prust on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Prust 50.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 79.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Prust
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Prust
Bozak
Last 8: Prust 5-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Prust
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Prust
4
0
Prust
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Prust
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Prust
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (181)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.2% (1,990)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (49)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.1%
On power play, Prust has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Prust is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Prust shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Prust
Bozak
Home
52.0% (127)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.6% (109)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Prust
Bozak
P1
48.6%
53.2%
P2
53.3%
52.8%
P3
48.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Prust
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Brandon Prust |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |