Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Perron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Perron 40.6% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Perron 58.3%
Defensive zone
Saad 58.2%
Neutral zone
Perron 51.7%
Result
David Perron favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Saad
Perron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (529)
37.4% (398)
+3.2%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
44.5% (110)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
33.3% (12)
+4.9%
On power play, Saad has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Saad is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Saad shoots left. Perron is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Saad
Perron
Home
42.5% (367)
42.8% (269)
Away
41.1% (343)
34.7% (251)
By Period
Saad
Perron
P1
41.9%
42.4%
P2
41.2%
34.1%
P3
43.1%
40.0%
OT
36.4%
38.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.8%