Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 50.0% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 56.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 67.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 57.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Saad
Kuznetsov
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (5)
47.7% (927)
+12.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.5% (71)
-20.2%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Saad is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Saad shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Saad
Kuznetsov
Home
60.0% (5)
45.9% (534)
Away
33.3% (3)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Saad
Kuznetsov
P1
50.0%
44.8%
P2
33.3%
52.1%
P3
100.0%
44.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
50.0%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%