Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Saad wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 45.0% vs Mitchell 50.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 78.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 72.8%
Neutral zone
Saad 56.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Saad
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Saad
Mitchell
Last 5: Saad 2-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
1
0
Saad
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Saad
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (90)
50.6% (607)
-10.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
61.2% (49)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
40.2% (92)
-6.9%
On power play, Mitchell has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Saad is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Saad shoots left. Mitchell is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Saad
Mitchell
Home
44.9% (69)
52.0% (406)
Away
35.8% (53)
47.7% (342)
By Period
Saad
Mitchell
P1
43.2%
51.6%
P2
31.9%
44.0%
P3
53.1%
55.0%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | OT | 01:28 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | John Mitchell |