Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Saad wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 78.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 74.4%
Neutral zone
Saad 55.4%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Saad
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Saad
Mitchell
Last 5: Saad 2-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
1
0
Saad
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Saad
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
51.8% (2,965)
-11.2%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
54.1% (196)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
44.1% (401)
-5.9%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Saad is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Saad shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Saad
Mitchell
Home
42.5% (367)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
41.0% (346)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Saad
Mitchell
P1
41.7%
52.0%
P2
41.2%
49.9%
P3
43.1%
50.9%
OT
36.4%
69.2%
Final 5 min
38.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | OT | 01:28 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | John Mitchell |