Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 50.6%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 50.5%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 51.7%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Saad
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Saad
Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Saad
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Saad
1
0
Saad
Ribeiro
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
42.9% (4,887)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
45.6% (930)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
33.3% (147)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Saad has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Saad is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Saad shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Saad
Ribeiro
Home
42.5% (367)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
41.0% (346)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Saad
Ribeiro
P1
41.7%
42.6%
P2
41.2%
44.3%
P3
43.1%
41.8%
OT
36.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Brandon Saad |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |