Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Saad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.0% vs Kadri 50.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kadri 62.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.4%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Saad
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Saad
Kadri
Last 6: Saad 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
2
1
Saad
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Saad
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (91)
50.3% (1,002)
-5.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
51.4% (72)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
26.3% (19)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Saad has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Saad is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Saad shoots left. Kadri is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Saad
Kadri
Home
47.1% (51)
52.3% (568)
Away
45.7% (70)
47.4% (525)
By Period
Saad
Kadri
P1
43.9%
51.5%
P2
51.2%
49.4%
P3
43.2%
49.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Brandon Saad |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |