Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Saad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Saad wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Kadri 48.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Saad 65.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 61.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.2%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Saad
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Saad
Kadri
Last 10: Saad 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
4
1
Saad
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Saad
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Saad
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
48.2% (12,510)
-7.6%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
53.0% (1,892)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
41.0% (293)
-2.8%
On even strength, Kadri has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Saad is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Saad shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Saad
Kadri
Home
42.5% (367)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
41.0% (346)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Saad
Kadri
P1
41.7%
49.2%
P2
41.2%
48.8%
P3
43.1%
48.0%
OT
36.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Brandon Saad |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |