Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 52.6%
Defensive zone
Saad 55.6%
Neutral zone
Vrbata 50.3%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Saad
Vrbata
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (529)
34.2% (184)
+6.4%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
45.2% (42)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
50.0% (14)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Vrbata has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Saad is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Saad shoots left. Vrbata is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Saad
Vrbata
Home
42.5% (367)
32.3% (124)
Away
41.1% (343)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Saad
Vrbata
P1
41.9%
31.0%
P2
41.2%
38.5%
P3
43.1%
43.8%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%