Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Saad wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 74.2%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 63.6%
Neutral zone
Saad 53.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Saad
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Saad
Getzlaf
Last 7: Saad 3-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
2
0
Saad
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
4
Saad
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (529)
49.6% (10,258)
-9.0%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
54.9% (1,381)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
44.8% (1,055)
-6.6%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Saad is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Saad shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Saad
Getzlaf
Home
42.5% (367)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
41.1% (343)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Saad
Getzlaf
P1
41.9%
49.2%
P2
41.2%
50.4%
P3
43.1%
49.7%
OT
36.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 6, 2013 | OT | 04:00 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |