Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Grant 52.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 57.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 56.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Sutter
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Sutter
Grant
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
2
Sutter
Grant
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Grant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Sutter
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
53.7% (2,864)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
61.7% (175)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
46.0% (922)
+0.4%
On power play, Grant has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Sutter
Grant
Home
50.6% (5,050)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Sutter
Grant
P1
48.7%
51.1%
P2
50.3%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Derek Grant |